Jul. 27, 2019

Reflecting on the 2020 Primary Season: Kamala Harris & Corey Booker

Reflecting on 2020: Kamala Harris & Corey Booker

Right now there are only 190 days until the primary season begins with the February 2, 2020, Iowa Caucus. There will plenty of election fireworks over the course of the next 190 days until that initial Iowa Caucus. In the democratic party currently, it looks like the running of the first race of the Triple Crown, The Kentucky Derby with 25 steeds and fillies galloping down the front stretch looking for any possible advantage. I didn't want to use the thoroughbred analogy but whatever analogy can you use with so many declared candidates running for the nomination to confront Trump.

In short order after Iowa, the following states will have their primaries and with 221 days or 31 days after that initial Iowa Caucus. The primary season will most definitely provide the frontrunner status and possibly the nomination will be all but secured on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020. Especially if someone other than California's current Senator, Kamala Harris wins those delegates. Is California still winner take all? No, it isn't the delegates are now proportioned according to how they performed in the state's 57 congressional districts. While the importance of California is magnified by the size count of the delegates. It is also smart to realize that by that March 3, 2020, date, many of the 25 current candidates will still be on the ballot cards that are mailed to registered Democratic voters. So with 60% of the votes to tabulated coming from mailed-in ballots, how many will be directed towards candidates who have already ended their presidential ambitions? We should presume that Kamala Harris's campaign will either sink or swim based on her standing after March 3, 2020.

Corey Booker could be in real trouble if he doesn't pick up any momentum prior to Super Tuesday. Because of the lateness in the primary season of New Jersey's Presidential Primary. The New Jersey Primary date is June 2, 2020, which is probably way too late in the primary season to boost a frailing presidential campaign if Corey Booker doesn't at least win some state primaries or show strong performances in Iowa, or New Hampshire. The percentage of the black caucus delegates in Iowa sits at 4%. So these delegates will need to coalesce with other delegates to provide any real impetus to either Corey Booker or Kamala Harris. Right now either Harris or Booker cannot split except splitting those delegates and gain any sense of momentum leading into the next primary which is New Hampshire with only 1% numbering black voters. Corey Booker will need to finish ahead of Kamala Harris in order to maintain any legitimacy to his presidential hopes.

The South Carolina Primary on February 29, 2020, should/could be the defining line for Corey Booker. I truly anticipate Kamala Harris's campaign to hold the fort until that Super Tuesday California Primary.
If Corey Booker doesn't show well in South Carolina because of the high percentage of black voters in that state. If Corey Booker doesn't show well in South Carolina which means at least amongst the top 3 finishers. Corey Booker's campaign for President for all intents and purposes are done. He must then marshal his forces for either a position for VP or a possible cabinet appointment by pledging to support the current frontrunner.

I anticipate both Harris and Booker's campaign to work hard to drive home the message of coalitions. That is the campaign that won Obama the nomination solid is not incredible support by the black voters, along with picking up college-educated whites both male and female especially the so-called soccer moms. The only problem with that strategy is that Elizabeth Warren will capture it seems the many soccer college-educated moms and former Vice President Biden has Obama's cheat sheet for winning the nomination with multiple digital lists of not only supporters but also campaign financiers. I have personal problems with both Corey Booker, it seems that he is too pocket dependent on Wall Street financiers to truly be a candidate that will be people-oriented not money-oriented. I also have struggled with the multiple articles that have been written relating Kamala Harris's tenure as District Attorney in San Francisco as well as Attorney General of California, those articles showed a strong propensity to incarcerate black men in large numbers. She also had a somewhat dubious relationship with former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown that engendered multiple financial rewards that seemed quite questionable.

Right now, I putting together my issues card based on late Mayor from Atlanta Maynard Jackson. It will highlight 15-20 national issues that will define by either yes/no answers who will get my political support. I would like to get some opinions from my many followers on what those yes/no questions will look like. We can no longer vote simply on an individual's race or color or party affiliation. We must vote on how the candidates will support our agenda's if elected. I concentrated solely today on the Corey Booker/Kamala Harris campaigns today because these two candidates look the most like me. I hope I provided some direction as the minutes are ticking down hopefully to the end of Donald Trump's decimation plans of this nation.